hot enough for ya?

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Fat Cat
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Re: hot enough for ya?

Post by Fat Cat »

Herv100 wrote:
The scientist at the center of the climategate scandal made a rather important admission during an interview with the BBC.

Professor Jones also conceded the possibility that the world was warmer in medieval times than now - suggesting global warming may not be a man-made phenomenon.

And he said that for the past 15 years there has been no 'statistically significant' warming.
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The possibility that the world was warmer in medieval times than now in NO WAY WHATSOEVER suggests global warming may not be a man-made phenomenon. Sorry but you can't get there from here.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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That was quoted for the last sentence in response to Milos. One of the worlds top climate change scientists said there has been no significant warming in 15 years
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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Does it really matter what the science says? I have a feeling even if there was certainty we were redlining toward the precipice people woulds still refuse to give up their SUVs, air-conditioners, McMansions, etc.

We're a spineless generation. We deserve an ignominious fate.

Pity for the kids though.
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dead man walking
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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herv, that spencer study you quote on the previous page has been fully addressed and refuted by climate scientists. cherry pick here and there, if it comforts you. it makes no difference to the climate.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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Herv100 wrote:One of the worlds top climate change scientists said there has been no significant warming in 15 years
You will have a hard time seizing the scientific high ground arguing that line.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

Post by Gene »

Fat Cat wrote:The possibility that the world was warmer in medieval times than now in NO WAY WHATSOEVER suggests global warming may not be a man-made phenomenon. Sorry but you can't get there from here.
Robin Hood didn't drive an SUV, did he?
Last edited by Gene on Sat Nov 19, 2011 11:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

Post by Gene »

milosz wrote:I'm not sure how much of a retard one needs to be to claim that global temps have been cooling for a decade, but:

Image
The trend line looks like a Sine wave, one that has a local Maxima a few years back.

Is that analysis retarded enough for you?
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Re: hot enough for ya?

Post by Herv100 »

Fat Cat wrote:
Herv100 wrote:One of the worlds top climate change scientists said there has been no significant warming in 15 years
You will have a hard time seizing the scientific high ground arguing that line.
He is the CRU director and worked closely with the IPCC, and was, in fact, in charge of their key sets of data(which is now "lost" LOL) on which they and the UN rely. And the interview was widely reported.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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Thud wrote:Does it really matter what the science says? I have a feeling even if there was certainty we were redlining toward the precipice people woulds still refuse to give up their SUVs, air-conditioners, McMansions, etc.

We're a spineless generation. We deserve an ignominious fate.

Pity for the kids though.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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Gene wrote:
milosz wrote:I'm not sure how much of a retard one needs to be to claim that global temps have been cooling for a decade, but:

Image
The trend line looks like a Sine wave, one that has a local Maxima a few years back.

Is that analysis retarded enough for you?
Perspective is everything. It would be interesting to see this on a multiple century timeline to gain a better long-term perspective.
Blaidd Drwg wrote:90% of the people lifting in gyms are doing it on "feel" and what they really "feel" like is being a lazy fuck.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

Post by Herv100 »

The Crawdaddy wrote:
Gene wrote:
milosz wrote:I'm not sure how much of a retard one needs to be to claim that global temps have been cooling for a decade, but:

Image
The trend line looks like a Sine wave, one that has a local Maxima a few years back.

Is that analysis retarded enough for you?
Perspective is everything. It would be interesting to see this on a multiple century timeline to gain a better long-term perspective.
Donkey posted such a chart on page 2 or 3.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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Of course, the planet's climate has always been in flux thanks to "natural" factors such as changes in solar or volcanic activity, or cycles relating the Earth's orbit around the sun. According to the scientific literature, however, the warming recorded to date matches the pattern of warming we would expect from a build up of greenhouse gas in the atmosphere – not the warming we would expect from other possible causes.

Even if scientists did discover another plausible explanation for the warming observed to date, that would beg a difficult question. As Robert Henson puts it in The Rough Guide to Climate Change:

"If some newly discovered factor can account for the climate change then why aren't carbon dioxide and the other greenhouse gases producing the warming that basic physics tells us they should be?"

The only way to prove with 100% certainty that humans are responsible for global warming would be to run an experiment with two identical Earths – one with human influence and one without. That obviously isn't possible, and so most scientists are careful not to state human influence as an absolute certainty. Nonetheless, the evidence is now extremely strong.
And such is the conundrum of prudence. There are those who'll sacrifice nothing until something is proven beyond the shadow of a doubt, and such proof will never be possible, however dire the outcome.

It's like coming upon a football coach ass pounding a child in the locker room and declaring one needs more data before they can decide if they should stop it or not. After all, what if it's not as detrimental as some might suggest?
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Re: hot enough for ya?

Post by Turdacious »

The Crawdaddy wrote:
Turdacious wrote:Re human caused climate change-- one study says there's a 66% chance it happened; and another says there's no correlation. Which one is right?
Statistical analysis is like that: You get a different answer from the data when you ask different questions or different data sets. Guaranteed that both were different, so they probably both were in some way.
Of course. Which is why you, as an applied scientist type, would not use such pseudo scientific analytical nonsense for designing a tin can for squids-- unless you really didn't care whether they lived or died.

edit (although Craw caught what I really meant)
Last edited by Turdacious on Sun Nov 20, 2011 12:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

Post by The Crawdaddy »

Turdacious wrote:
The Crawdaddy wrote:
Turdacious wrote:Re human caused climate change-- one study says there's a 66% chance it happened; and another says there's no correlation. Which one is right?
Statistical analysis is like that: You get a different answer from the data when you ask different questions or different data sets. Guaranteed that both were different, so they probably both were in some way.
Of course. Which is why you, as an applied scientist type, would use such pseudo scientific analytical nonsense for designing a tin can for squids-- unless you really didn't care whether they lived or died.
Well, yeah. Because 1) I do care (some of those folks are friends), and 2) I may have to ride in the can!!

Herv: I saw that, I just wish we had more real raw data like the above chart rather than the widespread points that make me wonder what really happened.
Blaidd Drwg wrote:90% of the people lifting in gyms are doing it on "feel" and what they really "feel" like is being a lazy fuck.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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Some of you guys need to go suck off some SUV exhaust pipes and see for your selves how good the idea of burning massive amounts of carbon is. Once again Jag states the obvious with that picture. That being said, I drive a 300hp BMW, because I love the speed and power. I would much prefer it to be electrically powered, though, and not only because of the insane torque of an electric motor.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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Not convinced EVs are the best route. That energy still comes from somewhere, and depending on where you are pulling the juice to power the battery, it may actually be worse than a car since major portions of the grid are still coal-powered. I won't attempt to reproduce all of the data here, but this link has some good info about sources etc.

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/stor ... =110997398
Blaidd Drwg wrote:90% of the people lifting in gyms are doing it on "feel" and what they really "feel" like is being a lazy fuck.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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I buy only certified renewable energy (wind and water) and would like to run my car on that too. The taxation is totally fucked up for that here in Finland, but my next car will still be E. I'm just waiting for a good enough E-car to become available. I realize there isn't enough renewable E for everything, but where there is a will there is a way. Currently that will is lacking and we continue on a dead end road bickering and arguing about irrelevant shit, like global warming.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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Besides, my iggloo is about to fuckin' melt.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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Thud wrote:
Of course, the planet's climate has always been in flux thanks to "natural" factors such as changes in solar or volcanic activity, or cycles relating the Earth's orbit around the sun. According to the scientific literature, however, the warming recorded to date matches the pattern of warming we would expect from a build up of greenhouse gas in the atmosphere – not the warming we would expect from other possible causes.

Even if scientists did discover another plausible explanation for the warming observed to date, that would beg a difficult question. As Robert Henson puts it in The Rough Guide to Climate Change:

"If some newly discovered factor can account for the climate change then why aren't carbon dioxide and the other greenhouse gases producing the warming that basic physics tells us they should be?"

The only way to prove with 100% certainty that humans are responsible for global warming would be to run an experiment with two identical Earths – one with human influence and one without. That obviously isn't possible, and so most scientists are careful not to state human influence as an absolute certainty. Nonetheless, the evidence is now extremely strong.
And such is the conundrum of prudence. There are those who'll sacrifice nothing until something is proven beyond the shadow of a doubt, and such proof will never be possible, however dire the outcome.

It's like coming upon a football coach ass pounding a child in the locker room and declaring one needs more data before they can decide if they should stop it or not. After all, what if it's not as detrimental as some might suggest?
So if it turns out that there is no Human Caused Global Warming but we get "Global Governance" that degenerates into a tyranny which one of you dumbass Progressives is gonna put a stop to that?
Last edited by Gene on Sun Nov 20, 2011 4:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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The Crawdaddy wrote:Not convinced EVs are the best route. That energy still comes from somewhere, and depending on where you are pulling the juice to power the battery, it may actually be worse than a car since major portions of the grid are still coal-powered. I won't attempt to reproduce all of the data here, but this link has some good info about sources etc.

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/stor ... =110997398
wind generation typically peaks at night and could provide a good match for ev charging. also some argue that reducing tailpipe emissions--notably nox--in urban areas will have significant health benefits.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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PC Polar Circle Person wrote:I buy only certified renewable energy (wind and water) and would like to run my car on that too. The taxation is totally fucked up for that here in Finland, but my next car will still be E. I'm just waiting for a good enough E-car to become available. I realize there isn't enough renewable E for everything, but where there is a will there is a way. Currently that will is lacking and we continue on a dead end road bickering and arguing about irrelevant shit, like global warming.
Electric cars were around in the early 1900s. I don't know what exactly pushed them to the side. Probably the amount of energy that you can get out of a gallon of gasoline versus the amount of energy you can store in a battery. A battery which weighs roughly the same charged or empty. A battery which ages and has to be replaced every so often.

Wonder how much "Certified Renewable Energy" is in fossil fuel inputs? Even a wind mill requires preventative maintenance and someone has to burn fossil fuels to get there.
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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Gene wrote:
PC Polar Circle Person wrote:I buy only certified renewable energy (wind and water) and would like to run my car on that too. The taxation is totally fucked up for that here in Finland, but my next car will still be E. I'm just waiting for a good enough E-car to become available. I realize there isn't enough renewable E for everything, but where there is a will there is a way. Currently that will is lacking and we continue on a dead end road bickering and arguing about irrelevant shit, like global warming.
Electric cars were around in the early 1900s. I don't know what exactly pushed them to the side. Probably the amount of energy that you can get out of a gallon of gasoline versus the amount of energy you can store in a battery. A battery which weighs roughly the same charged or empty. A battery which ages and has to be replaced every so often.

Wonder how much "Certified Renewable Energy" is in fossil fuel inputs? Even a wind mill requires preventative maintenance and someone has to burn fossil fuels to get there.
WTF???
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Re: hot enough for ya?

Post by dead man walking »

PC Polar Circle Person wrote:Besides, my iggloo is about to fuckin' melt.
that's true.

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

you'll have to make a tent of reindeer hides
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dead man walking
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Re: hot enough for ya?

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Really Big Strong Guy: There are a plethora of psychopaths among us.


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Re: hot enough for ya?

Post by Thud »

Gene wrote:
Thud wrote:
Of course, the planet's climate has always been in flux thanks to "natural" factors such as changes in solar or volcanic activity, or cycles relating the Earth's orbit around the sun. According to the scientific literature, however, the warming recorded to date matches the pattern of warming we would expect from a build up of greenhouse gas in the atmosphere – not the warming we would expect from other possible causes.

Even if scientists did discover another plausible explanation for the warming observed to date, that would beg a difficult question. As Robert Henson puts it in The Rough Guide to Climate Change:

"If some newly discovered factor can account for the climate change then why aren't carbon dioxide and the other greenhouse gases producing the warming that basic physics tells us they should be?"

The only way to prove with 100% certainty that humans are responsible for global warming would be to run an experiment with two identical Earths – one with human influence and one without. That obviously isn't possible, and so most scientists are careful not to state human influence as an absolute certainty. Nonetheless, the evidence is now extremely strong.
And such is the conundrum of prudence. There are those who'll sacrifice nothing until something is proven beyond the shadow of a doubt, and such proof will never be possible, however dire the outcome.

It's like coming upon a football coach ass pounding a child in the locker room and declaring one needs more data before they can decide if they should stop it or not. After all, what if it's not as detrimental as some might suggest?
So if it turns out that there is no Human Caused Global Warming but we get "Global Governance" that degenerates into a tyranny which one of you dumbass Progressives is gonna put a stop to that?

Since you consider such "excesses" as gun registration, environmental protection, restrictions against drunk driving, etc, to be tyrannical, I think it's a risk worth taking.

When other kids were lying in bed at night fearful a zombie might be in their closet waiting to kill them, you were petrified a building code enforcement agent might be under your bed waiting to fine you. What crimes against humanity are you so afraid of being prohibited from performing?

Gene, you need to get your ass out of Pennsyltucky, or wherever the fuck you live, for a day or two and see the world. Go visit a social democracy and stare the beast in the eyes. It's might not be as dreadful as you think.
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