Odds that President Trump will not finish his term

dead man walking · Post by **dead man walking** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 4:27 pm

. . .

Herv100 · Post by **Herv100** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 4:28 pm

Herv100 wrote:
nafod wrote:
powerlifter54 wrote:These same wankers had Hilliary winning in a landslide.
Must have been using alternative facts
So was it an alternative fact when Obama said he didn't know about Hillarys private server? Come to find out he emailed her on it several times under a fake name.

#alternativefactsinhistory

Shafpocalypse Now · Post by **Shafpocalypse Now** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 4:29 pm

I think the thing that will bring him down is the revelation of his tax returns...and then maybe not even that.

Welcome to 4 more years of shitty government, only this time, it won't even be hidden that rich white guys are getting welfare and government money.

tough old man · Post by **tough old man** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 4:40 pm

You do know that hoping for the pilot to fail may kill all aboard the aircraft right?

Just calm the fuck down and see what happens. I am tired of every whiny voice on every fucking subject down to how he sharpens his pencil.

nafod · Post by **nafod** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 5:06 pm

tough old man wrote:You do know that hoping for the pilot to fail may kill all aboard the aircraft right?

Good point.

For me, I don't hope he fails. I am just worried that he is going to fail. I was worried when I saw him in the airport stumbling around before we got on the plane.

Most of the policy stuff getting implemented is no skin off my back or my family's. I'm a white guy in a white enclave nowhere near the southern border with a defined benefit plan through the gubmint and a 401K. What can go wrong?

aussie luke · Post by **aussie luke** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 5:09 pm

In case any of you were wondering, the rest of the world thinks this is a massive fucking joke and we're all just quietly hoping he doesn't fuck things up bigley enough to take the rest of us down with you.

The sad thing for us Aussies and I imagine the Brits too is seeing our PMs already sniffing around his balls and offering their pussys for grabbing.

Herv100 · Post by **Herv100** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 5:21 pm

People who say "bigley" are queer dorks

johno · Post by **johno** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 5:42 pm

DOW > 20,000

So much for the Wise Market deserting Trump. My schadenfreude can only get so hard.

powerlifter54 · Post by **powerlifter54** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 5:56 pm

Do I suspect 3-5 million illegal aliens votes? No
Do I suspect 38k-2.8 million illegal alien voters? Yes.
Do I suspect 3-5+million illegal voters? Yes and maybe more.
Do I think the entire media complex is full of shit from Fox to MSNBC? Yes
Do I think Trump is beating you like a UCONN Womyn's Basketball Oponent? Yes
Do I think Trump will win re-election? At this point, yes and easily.
Do I think Trump can fuck it up? Yes.
Do I think the Democrat Party is in deep, deep poo poo? Yes
Do I think they can get on track quickly, generally, or long term? No.
Am I enjoying this? Yes.

Any other questions?

By the way, today's latest:
Wall
Extreme Vetting
Voter fraud
Unions smiling
20k

Had enough?

bennyonesix · Post by **bennyonesix** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 6:02 pm

nafod wrote:
powerlifter54 wrote:
nafod wrote:
powerlifter54 wrote:These same wankers had Hilliary winning in a landslide.
Must have been using alternative facts
The Kings and Queens of being wrong, the Media and Hilliary.

Enjoy today's smackdown.
Do you agree with Trump that 3-5 million illegal aliens voted in the election, giving the popular vote to Hilliary?

http://www.providencejournal.com/articl ... /150619885

nafod · Post by **nafod** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 6:56 pm

bennyonesix wrote:
nafod wrote:
powerlifter54 wrote:
nafod wrote:
powerlifter54 wrote:These same wankers had Hilliary winning in a landslide.
Must have been using alternative facts
The Kings and Queens of being wrong, the Media and Hilliary.

Enjoy today's smackdown.
Do you agree with Trump that 3-5 million illegal aliens voted in the election, giving the popular vote to Hilliary?

http://www.providencejournal.com/articl ... /150619885

So you agree? I'm looking for commitment here, Benny.

seeahill · Post by **seeahill** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 6:58 pm

powerlifter54 wrote:These same wankers had Hilliary winning in a landslide. It is one thing to be a leftist , it is an other thing to let it cloud your math.

I don't think you understand how a betting exchange works.

seeahill · Post by **seeahill** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 7:02 pm

johno wrote:
Tim, to answer your initial question - I'd take Trump completing his term for $100.
"

OK, what odds will you give me?

bennyonesix · Post by **bennyonesix** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 7:07 pm

nafod wrote:
bennyonesix wrote:
nafod wrote:
powerlifter54 wrote:
nafod wrote:
powerlifter54 wrote:These same wankers had Hilliary winning in a landslide.
Must have been using alternative facts
The Kings and Queens of being wrong, the Media and Hilliary.

Enjoy today's smackdown.
Do you agree with Trump that 3-5 million illegal aliens voted in the election, giving the popular vote to Hilliary?

http://www.providencejournal.com/articl ... /150619885

So you agree? I'm looking for commitment here, Benny.

I agree with everything pl54 wrote.

climber511 · Post by **climber511** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 7:10 pm

Sorry - messed up

seeahill · Post by **seeahill** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 7:14 pm

johno wrote:DOW > 20,000

So much for the Wise Market deserting Trump. My schadenfreude can only get so hard.

It's no secret that I'm not the President's biggest fan. But when Trump won, I felt he would take pro-business decisions. I put more cash in stocks I expected to go up under Trump. So far, it's been a winning investment.

Yeah, I have no shame.

milosz · Post by **milosz** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 7:20 pm

tough old man wrote:You do know that hoping for the pilot to fail may kill all aboard the aircraft right?

What was your stance on this in 2009? Were Republicans rallying for Obama to fail undermining the US?

Freki · Post by **Freki** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 8:06 pm

seeahill wrote:
johno wrote:DOW > 20,000

So much for the Wise Market deserting Trump. My schadenfreude can only get so hard.
It's no secret that I'm not the President's biggest fan. But when Trump won, I felt he would take pro-business decisions. I put more cash in stocks I expected to go up under Trump. So far, it's been a winning investment.

Yeah, I have no shame.

Filthy, stinking capitalist.

DikTracy6000 · Post by **DikTracy6000** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 8:50 pm

nafod wrote:
tough old man wrote:You do know that hoping for the pilot to fail may kill all aboard the aircraft right?
Good point.

For me, I don't hope he fails. I am just worried that he is going to fail. I was worried when I saw him in the airport stumbling around before we got on the plane.

Most of the policy stuff getting implemented is no skin off my back or my family's. I'm a white guy in a white enclave nowhere near the southern border with a defined benefit plan through the gubmint and a 401K. What can go wrong?

I just listened to his speech live on radio at Homeland while doing a quick garage workout. He was slurring his speech like he had low blood sugar, or maybe fell off the wagon. That's a concern to me that I didn't see throughout the long campaign.

DikTracy6000 · Post by **DikTracy6000** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 9:15 pm

seeahill wrote:
johno wrote:DOW > 20,000

So much for the Wise Market deserting Trump. My schadenfreude can only get so hard.
It's no secret that I'm not the President's biggest fan. But when Trump won, I felt he would take pro-business decisions. I put more cash in stocks I expected to go up under Trump. So far, it's been a winning investment.

Yeah, I have no shame.

So when you were totally convinced Hillary would win, your investments were mostly in cash? Interesting. Sounds like a lack of faith in her ability to turn the economy around. Don't get me wrong, it could turn on a dime just as quickly for President Trump.

DrDonkeyLove · Post by **DrDonkeyLove** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 9:16 pm

milosz wrote:
tough old man wrote:You do know that hoping for the pilot to fail may kill all aboard the aircraft right?
What was your stance on this in 2009? Were Republicans rallying for Obama to fail undermining the US?

I had left the Republican party by 2009 and reluctantly voted for McCain but was definitely hoping for the best w/Obama. Most of my friends and colleagues were as well. As the true Ossiah revealed himself, opinions changed.

Can't say that trump is not behaving exactly as he said he would. Literally, the only surprise is his sprinters speed in getting things done, and it's only Wednesday of his first full week in office.

seeahill · Post by **seeahill** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 9:32 pm

DikTracy6000 wrote:
seeahill wrote:
johno wrote:DOW > 20,000

So much for the Wise Market deserting Trump. My schadenfreude can only get so hard.
It's no secret that I'm not the President's biggest fan. But when Trump won, I felt he would take pro-business decisions. I put more cash in stocks I expected to go up under Trump. So far, it's been a winning investment.

Yeah, I have no shame.
So when you were totally convinced Hillary would win, your investments were mostly in cash? Interesting. Sounds like a lack of faith in her ability to turn the economy around. Don't get me wrong, it could turn on a dime just as quickly for President Trump.

Not really. I shifted out of some investments during the campaign because I felt things were too crazy. When Trump was elected, I bought ETFs representing sectors that looked to benefit: banking, energy and small caps.

milosz · Post by **milosz** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 9:40 pm

Republicans have been claiming voter fraud for 30 years and every study finds it to be essentially nonexistent and never impactful. Anyone who believes this new round is either stupid or ideologically motivated to believe it.

Occam's Razor - if the Democratic machine could produce millions of illegal votes, why would they waste them in areas they win automatically?

milosz · Post by **milosz** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 9:46 pm

johno wrote:DOW > 20,000

So much for the Wise Market deserting Trump. My schadenfreude can only get so hard.

Why would the market desert Trump? A peaceful transfer of power to a pro-business Republican, even a narcissist, is the definition of stability.

The "wise market" knows he's not the Huey Long populist he portrayed himself as on the trail. He's a Keynesian Republican, just like Reagan and Dubya - deficits will balloon for military spending, impotent "infrastructure" and tax cuts for the already-wealthy, kicking the can of debt down the road.

It is interesting that you highlight the Dow, though. What was the Dow's performance under Obama, out of curiosity?

johno · Post by **johno** » Wed Jan 25, 2017 9:54 pm

seeahill wrote:
johno wrote:
Tim, to answer your initial question - I'd take Trump completing his term for $100.
"
OK, what odds will you give me?

seeahill wrote:Ladbrokes, the UK betting agency, puts the odds at one to one.

IGX

Odds that President Trump will not finish his term

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